Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Cherkasy Arena (Cherkasy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	LNZ Cherkasy		Karpaty Lviv

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	2.98	3.7
	2.31	3.30	3.11	Watch
	2.33	2.98	3.71	Watch
	2.16	2.95	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.31)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	3.53 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LNZ Cherkasy
42.4%

Draw
30.9%

Karpaty Lviv
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.7%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.6%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LNZ Cherkasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Karpaty Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LNZ Cherkasy than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

LNZ Cherkasy - Karpaty Lviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. LNZ will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Karpaty will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 11. Pasich G. 34. Muravskyi N. (C) 25. Gorin O. 14. Drambayev O. 16. Ryabov A. 8. Obah P. 10. Jashari M. 19. Pastukh Y. 17. Kuzyk D. 90. Assinor M.	1. Domchak N. (G) 77. Sych O. 4. Baboglo V. 2. Kyrychok M. 11. Miroshnichenko D. (C) 21. Tanda P. 23. Alvarez P. 37. Bruninho 7. Paulo V. 95. Krasnopir I. 33. Shakh A.
Substitutes
9. Avagymyan A. 27. Bennette J. 4. Dajko A. 7. Eynel Soares 23. Kravchuk D. 88. Kysil Y. 1. Ledviy D. (G) 5. Nonikashvili S. 24. Podolyak M. 72. Samoylenko K. (G) 6. Tankovskiy V. 3. Yermachkov I.	8. Chachua A. 9. Fabiano 18. Klymenko V. 80. Mysak R. (G) 10. Neves I. 28. Polegenko P.
Coaches
Ponomaryov V.	Lupashko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Jashari M. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Krasnopir I. ⚽, Baboglo V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Domchak N. 🟨,
58', Alvarez P. 🟨,
59', Miroshnichenko D. 🟨,
61', Shakh A. ↓, Chachua A. ↑,
62', Ryabov A. ↓, Nonikashvili S. ↑,
62', Muravskyi N. 🟨,
62', Krasnopir I. 🟨,
71', Krasnopir I. ↓, Neves I. ↑,
73', Pastukh Y. ↓, Kravchuk D. ↑,
74', Gorin O. 🟨,
88', Kyrychok M. 🟨,
90+2', Bruninho ↓, Polegenko P. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12).

LNZ has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Karpaty's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Karpaty may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, LNZ is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LNZ won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, LNZ won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LNZ Cherkasy
Ukrainian Cup
29.10.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
25.10.25	Kharkiv - LNZ Cherkasy	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Kolos Kovalivka	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy	1:4 ✺
28.09.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Kryvbas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WWWWT
- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
25.10.25	Karpaty Lviv - Rukh Lviv	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Karpaty Lviv - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Karpaty Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv	3:3 ✺
22.09.25	Obolon - Karpaty Lviv	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
28.02.25	Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0
26.08.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Karpaty Lviv	2:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
22.05.23	LNZ Cherkasy - Karpaty Lviv	4:1
22.04.23	Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:1
Ukrainian Druha Liga
27.08.21	LNZ Cherkasy - Karpaty Lviv	1:0

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