Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Cherkasy Arena (Cherkasy)

Referee: Zabroda K. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	LNZ Cherkasy		Kryvbas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.55
	1.72	3.73	4.88
	1.78	3.82	4.76	Watch
	3.05	3.1	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.63)	3.56 ↑ (3.09)	4.13 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LNZ Cherkasy
48%

Draw
27.9%

Kryvbas
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

29.6%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LNZ Cherkasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LNZ Cherkasy's performance.

Kryvbas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kryvbas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LNZ Cherkasy than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LNZ Cherkasy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kryvbas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

LNZ Cherkasy - Kryvbas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. LNZ will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Kryvbas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. LNZ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kryvbas (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Kryvbas (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Kryvbas (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Kryvbas (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. LNZ (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kryvbas (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 11. Pasich G. 29. Didyk R. (C) 25. Gorin O. 17. Kuzyk D. 16. Ryabov A. 19. Pastukh Y. 10. Jashari M. 8. Obah P. 90. Assinor M. 27. Bennette J.	12. Kemkin O. (G) 2. Jurcec J. 6. Konate B. 4. Vilivald V. 5. Bekavac A. 27. Araujo A. 10. Mykytyshyn A. 94. Zaderaka M. (C) 11. Tverdokhlib Y. 7. Mendoza G. 9. Paraco C.
Substitutes
4. Dajko A. 7. Eynel Soares 18. Kapliyenko O. 23. Kravchuk D. 88. Kysil Y. 1. Ledviy D. (G) 34. Muravskyi N. 5. Nonikashvili S. 24. Podolyak M. 72. Samoylenko K. (G) 6. Tankovskiy V.	26. Flores J. 17. Gonzalez M. 21. Kamensky O. 1. Khoma B. (G) 18. Lin B. 30. Makhankov V. (G) 24. Mulyk V. 19. Ndombasi N. 3. Rojas C. 8. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. 16. Thiago Borges
Coaches
Ponomaryov V.	van Leeuwen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Ryabov A. 🟨,
27', Jashari M. 🟨,
30', Bekavac A. 🟨,
40', Paraco C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bennette J. ↓, Eynel Soares ↑,
66', Pastukh Y. ↓, Tankovskiy V. ↑,
78', Paraco C. ↓, Ndombasi N. ↑,
78', Eynel Soares ↓, Kravchuk D. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4).

Recent performances by LNZ have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kryvbas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

LNZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, LNZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, LNZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Kryvbas - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LNZ Cherkasy
Ukrainian Premier League
21.09.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.25	Metalist Kharkiv - LNZ Cherkasy	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
12.09.25	Oleksandriya - LNZ Cherkasy	4:1 ✺
31.08.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Veres Rivne	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.25	Probiy Horodenka - LNZ Cherkasy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW
- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Premier League
21.09.25	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Kryvbas	4:5 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.25	Chernihiv - Kryvbas	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
14.09.25	Kryvbas - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Kryvbas - Obolon	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Kulykiv-Bilka - Kryvbas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
26.04.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Kryvbas	0:0
26.10.24	Kryvbas - LNZ Cherkasy	3:1
23.02.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Kryvbas	0:3
13.08.23	Kryvbas - LNZ Cherkasy	2:0

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