Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	UD Logroñés Promesas		Varea

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.35	3.9
	2.00	3.31	3.58	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.7
	1.88	3.32	3.72
	1.87	3.33	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.63)	3.28 ↓ (3.78)	3.73 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés Promesas
48%

Draw
27.7%

Varea
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

23.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

25.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD Logroñés Promesas's form might have worsened.

Varea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Logroñés Promesas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varea than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UD Logroñés Promesas - Varea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, Aldama P. ⚽,
89', 2 - 0, Aldama P. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UD L Promesas won 3.

UD L Promesas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Varea is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Varea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

UD L Promesas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, UD L Promesas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, UD L Promesas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Varea	5	1	4	0	4:3	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
11.01.26	UD Logroñés Promesas - Peña Balsamaiso	6:1 ✺
04.01.26	Autol - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Berceo	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Yagüe	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Oyonesa - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWTW
- CD Varea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
10.01.26	Oyonesa - Varea	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Varea - Pradejón	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Anguiano - Varea	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Varea - Haro Deportivo	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Agoncillo - Varea	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
07.09.25	Varea - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0
16.02.25	Varea - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:3
06.10.24	UD Logroñés Promesas - Varea	4:2
05.05.24	UD Logroñés Promesas - Varea	3:0
14.01.24	Varea - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:0
18.04.21	Varea - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:2
10.11.19	Varea - UD Logroñés Promesas	4:0

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