Match Info

Liga Women - Round 15

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)


	La Equidad		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.94	2.66
				Watch
	2.53	3.06	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.32)	3 ↓ (3.2)	2.62 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Equidad
35.2%

Draw
30.2%

Independiente Medellín
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Equidad than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

La Equidad - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sepulveda S. (C) 19. Guisamano M. J. 3. Gutierrez N. 2. Lambrano D. 17. Moreno L. 6. Tenorio K. 27. Gaviria D. 8. Valbuena P. 11. Rodriguez Y. 10. Vidal I. 9. Romero K.	22. Tejada M. (G) 4. Rengel S. 14. Rangel N. 13. Doria Y. 16. Hernandez E. 8. Gonzalez A. 15. Tangarife V. 10. Gonzalez E. (C) 23. Largo E. 7. Hurtado M. 18. Munera M.
Substitutes
15. Amaya A. 29. Espinosa S. 4. Medina B. 18. Moreno C. 22. Murillo K. (G) 20. Russi C. 5. Siso K.	19. Agudelo E. 11. Arias K. 1. Garcia L. (G) 5. Guzman M. 26. Macias P. 3. Ramirez V. 24. Tuberquia D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Doria Y. 🟨,
32', Gutierrez N. ↓, Russi C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rengel S. ↓, Guzman M. ↑,
62', Vidal I. ↓, Siso K. ↑,
62', Gaviria D. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
64', Munera M. ↓, Arias K. ↑,
80', Tangarife V. ↓, Macias P. ↑,
80', Doria Y. ↓, Tuberquia D. ↑,
80', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
90+3', Gonzalez E. ↓, Ramirez V. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).

Ind Medellín is Qualified for Liga Women (Promotion Group )

Recent form of La Equidad has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ind Medellín has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, La Equidad won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Equidad Woman
Colombian Liga Women
08.06.25	Fortaleza CEIF - La Equidad	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	Orsomarso - La Equidad	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	La Equidad - América de Cali	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Independiente Santa Fe - La Equidad	2:1 ✺
06.05.25	La Equidad - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT
- Independiente Medellín Women
Colombian Liga Women
08.06.25	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
26.05.25	Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Independiente Medellín - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Inter Palmira - Independiente Medellín	3:1 ✺
06.05.25	Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
12.05.24	La Equidad - Independiente Medellín	1:1
12.02.23	Independiente Medellín - La Equidad	2:0
22.04.22	Independiente Medellín - La Equidad	3:0

La Equidad - Independiente Medellín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide