Match Info

Liga Women - Round 10

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)


	Independiente Medellín		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.9	2.5
	2.7	3	2.55
	2.8	2.91	2.6
	2.74	3.01	2.56	Watch
	2.69	3	2.47	Watch
	2.7	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.37)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.54 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
33.5%

Draw
30.6%

Independiente Santa Fe
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.5%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Medellín's form might have worsened.

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Candanoza V. (G) 6. Alvarez S. 13. Doria Y. 8. Gonzalez A. 10. Gonzalez E. 5. Guzman M. 7. Hurtado M. 18. Munera M. 14. Rangel N. 9. Rojas V. 15. Tangarife V.	1. Martinez W. (G) 17. Garavito D. 19. Huertas G. 24. Marcano T. 3. Motta C. 4. Perez A. 26. Posada N. 10. Reyes C. 18. Silva M. 21. Valbuena K. 7. Zamorano M.
Substitutes
19. Agudelo E. 11. Arias K. 25. Correa M. 1. Garcia L. (G) 2. Iglesias A. 23. Largo E. 26. Macias P.	80. Cardenas W. 16. Hernandez K. 11. Mosquera H. 30. Rojas N. 33. Tovar L. 12. Velasquez Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Doria Y. (Own goal),
33', 1 - 1, Rojas V. ⚽, Gonzalez E. (A),
41', 1 - 2, Zamorano M. ⚽, Silva M. (A),
45+2', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez W. ↓, Velasquez Y. ↑,
46', Doria Y. ↓, Iglesias A. ↑,
47', Perez A. 🟨,
66', Posada N. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
73', Hurtado M. 🟨,
74', Guzman M. ↓, Arias K. ↑,
79', Garavito D. ↓, Rojas N. ↑,
79', Huertas G. ↓, Cardenas W. ↑,
85', Gonzalez E. ↓, Macias P. ↑,
89', Zamorano M. 🟨,
90+7', Mosquera H. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 0.

Ind Medellín has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Santa Fe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Santa Fe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín Women
Colombian Liga Women
30.04.25	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar	5:0 ✺
12.04.25	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW
- Independiente Santa Fe Women
Colombian Liga Women
27.04.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Inter Palmira	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
29.06.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín	3:1
22.06.24	Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2
27.04.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín	2:0
06.03.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín	2:1
14.03.22	Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín	2:0
05.12.20	Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín	1:1
02.12.20	Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe	0:2

Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide