Match Info

Liga Women - Round 13

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Palogrande (Manizales)


	Once Caldas		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.7
	4.7	3.55	1.66
	4.95	4.09	1.62
	4.63	3.9	1.62	Watch
	5.07	3.65	1.64	Watch
	4.7	3.55	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↓ (6.25)	3.67 ↑ (3.5)	1.65 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Once Caldas
19.4%

Draw
25%

Independiente Medellín
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

26%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

24.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Agamez D. (G) 4. Giraldo C. 19. Gomez E. 7. Infante Suarez N. C. 14. Pastrana N. 20. Patino S. 16. Rivera T. 5. Ruiz N. 2. Torres M. 8. Valencia D. 13. Zapata M.	12. Candanoza V. (G) 19. Agudelo E. 8. Gonzalez A. 10. Gonzalez E. 5. Guzman M. 7. Hurtado M. 23. Largo E. 18. Munera M. 14. Rangel N. 9. Rojas V. 15. Tangarife V.
Substitutes
22. Alonso N. 18. Alzate P. 10. Castillo I. 9. Guevara W. 3. Navas S. 17. Orozco M. 12. Rodriguez J. (G)	11. Arias K. 25. Correa M. 1. Garcia L. (G) 16. Hernandez E. 26. Macias P. 4. Rengel S. 24. Tuberquia D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Zapata M. 🟨,
26', Gomez E. 🟨,
45+2', Infante Suarez N. C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Patino S. ↓, Castillo I. ↑,
46', Guzman M. ↓, Arias K. ↑,
58', Gomez E. ↓, Guevara W. ↑,
75', Rojas V. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
78', Hernandez E. 🟨,
81', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
84', Ruiz N. ↓, Alzate P. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Arias K. ⚽, Hurtado M. (A),
89', Rivera T. ↓, Alonso N. ↑,
90', Infante Suarez N. C. ↓, Orozco M. ↑,
90+1', Tangarife V. ↓, Tuberquia D. ↑,
90+1', Gonzalez A. ↓, Correa M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ind Medellín is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Once Caldas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Once Caldas Women
Colombian Liga Women
16.05.25	Junior Barranquilla - Once Caldas	0:0 ✺
12.05.25	Once Caldas - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Orsomarso - Once Caldas	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTTLW
- Independiente Medellín Women
Colombian Liga Women
18.05.25	Independiente Medellín - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Inter Palmira - Independiente Medellín	3:1 ✺
06.05.25	Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
18.08.19	Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas	1:0

Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide