Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 9

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	La Fiorita		Folgore

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.15	4.35
	1.78	3.18	4.32
	1.76	3.36	4.42	Watch
	1.79	3.53	4.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.78)	3.31 ↓ (3.45)	4.36 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Fiorita
51.5%

Draw
27.6%

Folgore
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

24.3%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Fiorita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Fiorita than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

La Fiorita - Folgore Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Mazzotti M. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽, Miori M. (A),
34', 2 - 1, Cicarelli D. ⚽, Felipe J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 2 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽, Brolli C. (A),
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Fiorita won 3.

La Fiorita is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Folgore has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, La Fiorita is seen as the favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, La Fiorita won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 0.9:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, La Fiorita won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:1. (average 1.1:0.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Fiorita
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
31.10.25	Faetano - La Fiorita	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	AC Libertas - La Fiorita	1:3 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
22.10.25	La Fiorita - Folgore	1:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	La Fiorita - Cailungo	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Juvenes-Dogana - La Fiorita	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWT
- Folgore Falciano Calcio
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.11.25	Folgore - AC Libertas	6:1 ✺
25.10.25	Folgore - Pennarossa	3:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
22.10.25	La Fiorita - Folgore	1:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
17.10.25	Tre Fiori - Folgore	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Folgore - Fiorentino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Coppa Titano
22.10.25	La Fiorita - Folgore	1:0
24.09.25	Folgore - La Fiorita	0:0
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
13.04.25	La Fiorita - Folgore	2:0
01.05.24	Folgore - La Fiorita	0:0
28.04.24	La Fiorita - Folgore	1:0
27.01.24	Folgore - La Fiorita	1:0
01.10.23	La Fiorita - Folgore	1:0

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