The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tre Penne 38.3%
Draw 28%
Tre Fiori 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
26.3%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
26%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Tre Fiori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (+5%)
Tre Penne - Tre Fiori Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 2.
Recent performances by Tre Penne have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tre Fiori is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tre Penne won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).