The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tre Penne 40.6%
Draw 29.9%
Tre Fiori 29.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.7%
26.9%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
25.7%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tre Penne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Tre Fiori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Tre Penne - Tre Fiori Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 4th in the Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 3.
Tre Penne has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Tre Fiori shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Tre Penne has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:17 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tre Penne against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:9 goals (averaging 1:1.1 per game).