Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	La Nucía		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.2	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.24	3.16	3.35
	2.19	3.16	3.35
	2.14	3.15	3.15
	2.14	3.15	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.63)	3.16 ↑ (3)	3.23 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
42.4%

Draw
29.1%

Peña Deportiva
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

29.7%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

28.8%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in La Nucía's performance.

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Nucía that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

La Nucía - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches La Nucía won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams La Nucía won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.12.23	Manresa - La Nucía	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	La Nucía - Atlético Saguntino	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Alzira - La Nucía	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	La Nucía - Terrassa	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Valencia B - La Nucía	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLWL
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.12.23	Peña Deportiva - Hércules	1:5 ✺
03.12.23	CE Europa - Peña Deportiva	6:0 ✺
26.11.23	Peña Deportiva - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:0 ✺
18.11.23	Penya Independent - Peña Deportiva	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Peña Deportiva - Andratx	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.02.21	La Nucía - Peña Deportiva	0:1
22.11.20	Peña Deportiva - La Nucía	0:0

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