Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 12

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Penya Independent		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.06	3.05	2.44
	3.06	2.98	2.44
	2.95	3.06	2.29
	3	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.58)	3.1 ↓ (3.18)	2.33 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penya Independent
30.6%

Draw
29.8%

Peña Deportiva
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

28.6%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

27.9%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penya Independent's performance.

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penya Independent that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Penya Independent - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Penya Independent is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Peña Deportiva is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Peña Deportiva will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.11.23	Manresa - Penya Independent	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Penya Independent - Atlético Saguntino	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Alzira - Penya Independent	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Penya Independent - Terrassa	1:3 ✺
15.10.23	La Nucía - Penya Independent	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TLTLW
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.11.23	Peña Deportiva - Andratx	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Sant Andreu - Peña Deportiva	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Peña Deportiva - Valladolid	1:5 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.10.23	Peña Deportiva - Torrent	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Formentera - Peña Deportiva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLWW

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