Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday


	La Nucía		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	2.7	2.85	2.45
	2.75	3	2.45
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	2.91	3.03	2.61
	2.83	2.86	2.56
	2.95	2.7	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.27)	2.89 ↓ (3)	2.54 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
32.5%

Draw
31.6%

Atlético Baleares
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

32.8%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Nucía's form might have worsened.

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Baleares's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Nucía, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Baleares, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

La Nucía - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. La Nucía will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Baleares will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Atlético Baleares could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.10.22	Castellón - La Nucía	4:1 ✺
02.10.22	La Nucía - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
25.09.22	Numancia - La Nucía	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	La Nucía - Osasuna B	0:0 ✺
11.09.22	SD Logroñés - La Nucía	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTL
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.10.22	Atlético Baleares - Barcelona B	3:2 ✺
02.10.22	Alcoyano - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
25.09.22	Atlético Baleares - UD Logroñés	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Cornellà - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Atlético Baleares - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLT

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