Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	La Nucía		Deportivo Toledo

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.4	5.25
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.59	3.7	4.8
	1.74	3.44	5.04
	1.72	3.42	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.68)	3.54 ↑ (3.45)	5.08 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
56.1%

Draw
25.9%

Deportivo Toledo
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

26.8%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

16.8%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Deportivo Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-21.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Nucía that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Toledo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

La Nucía - Deportivo Toledo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches La Nucía is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Toledo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

La Nucía could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match La Nucía is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.21	Mancha Real - La Nucía	0:3 ✺
21.11.21	La Nucía - Águilas	0:0 ✺
14.11.21	Melilla - La Nucía	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	La Nucía - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
31.10.21	Hércules - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLLT
- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.11.21	Deportivo Toledo - El Ejido	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Levante B - Deportivo Toledo	0:2 ✺
14.11.21	Deportivo Toledo - Pulpileño	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Socuéllamos - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Deportivo Toledo - Alzira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLTL

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