Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday


	Deportivo Toledo		El Ejido

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.55	3	2.55
	2.73	2.94	2.75
	2.65	3.13	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.64)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	2.59 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Toledo
35.2%

Draw
29.6%

El Ejido
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

21.6%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for El Ejido have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Toledo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Ejido could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Toledo - El Ejido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Toledo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches El Ejido is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.11.21	Levante B - Deportivo Toledo	0:2 ✺
14.11.21	Deportivo Toledo - Pulpileño	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Socuéllamos - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Deportivo Toledo - Alzira	1:2 ✺
24.10.21	Racing Cartagena MM - Deportivo Toledo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLTLL
- CD El Ejido
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.11.21	El Ejido - Mancha Real	0:1 ✺
14.11.21	Águilas - El Ejido	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	El Ejido - Melilla	3:1 ✺
31.10.21	Real Murcia - El Ejido	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	El Ejido - Hércules	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWTL

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