Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 22 December 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadi Olimpic Camilo Cano La Nucia (La Nucia)

Referee: Sanchez Lopez R. (Esp)


	La Nucía		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.53	Watch
	6	3.8	1.5	Watch
	6.5	3.55	1.55
	6.4	3.85	1.51
	5.86	3.44	1.51
	6.5	3.8	1.55	Watch
	6.4	3.84	1.53	Watch
	6.8	3.8	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.43 ↑ (3.21)	3.76 ↑ (3.16)	1.53 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
14.4%

Draw
24.7%

Las Palmas
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.2%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

29.6%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Nucía's form might have worsened.

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Las Palmas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Nucía, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Las Palmas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.6%	9.6%	80.8%

La Nucía - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: Las Palmas will win (59 of 73 users predict this - 80.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 89.85%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Las Palmas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.22	UD Logroñés - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
10.12.22	Real Sociedad B - La Nucía	2:3 ✺
06.12.22	La Nucía - Intercity	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Calahorra - La Nucía	1:3 ✺
27.11.22	La Nucía - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 TWTWW
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.22	Villarreal B - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
06.12.22	Real Oviedo - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Sporting de Gijón - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
26.11.22	Las Palmas - Tenerife	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTWW

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