Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 21

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Ciudad Deportiva (Villarreal)

Referee: Vega A. C. (Esp)


	Villarreal B		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3	3	2.35
	3.1	3.1	2.4
	3.05	3.05	2.36
	3.3	3.07	2.48
	3.1	3	2.4	Watch
	3.13	3.13	2.38	Watch
	3.1	3.05	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	3.06 ↑ (2.88)	2.39 (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
30.1%

Draw
30.7%

Las Palmas
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

32.5%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

32.8%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

The chances for Las Palmas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.3%	30.3%	39.4%

Villarreal B - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Villarreal B will win (votes: 10 - 30.3%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 13 - 39.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 30.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 22.7% – 56.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Villarreal B has the most likely position - 15 (7.97%), has project points - 54, has currently - 28, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 1 (15.61%), has project points - 69, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (42%), has a chance of promoted (39%), has a chance of win league (16%).

This event has quality 33, importance 42, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Las Palmas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
10.12.22	Villarreal B - Tenerife	2:2 ✺
07.12.22	Cartagena - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	Villarreal B - Leganés	0:0 ✺
26.11.22	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Villarreal B - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWTLW
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
11.12.22	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
06.12.22	Real Oviedo - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Sporting de Gijón - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
26.11.22	Las Palmas - Tenerife	3:1 ✺
20.11.22	Levante - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.05.12	Villarreal B - Las Palmas	N/A

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