Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 17

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Las Palmas		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	4	Watch
	2	2.95	3.9
	2.02	3	4.25	Watch
	2.03	3	3.95
	2.09	3.1	4.31
	2.1	2.88	4	Watch
	2.06	3.05	4.05	Watch
	2.01	3.05	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.83)	3.02 ↓ (3.08)	4.07 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
45.8%

Draw
31.1%

Tenerife
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

29.9%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

32.4%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.9%	19.5%	14.6%

Las Palmas - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 27 - 65.9%). Tenerife will win (votes: 6 - 14.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 19.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 51.4% – 80.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 14).

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 1 (17.38%), has project points - 70, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Tenerife has the most likely position - 9 (6.68%), has project points - 58, has currently - 20, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 39, importance 49, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Las Palmas is a favorite.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
20.11.22	Levante - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Teruel - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
06.11.22	Las Palmas - Eibar	1:1 ✺
01.11.22	Las Palmas - Burgos	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Huesca - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWTLL
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
19.11.22	Tenerife - Huesca	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Lealtad - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
05.11.22	Burgos - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
02.11.22	Mirandés - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
28.10.22	Tenerife - Zaragoza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.06.22	Las Palmas - Tenerife	1:2
01.06.22	Tenerife - Las Palmas	1:0
02.01.22	Tenerife - Las Palmas	0:1
16.10.21	Las Palmas - Tenerife	2:1
28.03.21	Tenerife - Las Palmas	1:1
15.11.20	Las Palmas - Tenerife	1:0
Club Friendly
04.09.20	Tenerife - Las Palmas	1:3

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