Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	La Nucía		Rayo Ibense

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.6	8.8
	1.35	4.16	8.39
	1.25	4.85	10.7
	1.3	4.6	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)	4.55 ↑ (4.37)	9.17 ↑ (8.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
70.1%

Draw
20%

Rayo Ibense
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

20.8%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

19.5%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Rayo Ibense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Ibense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

La Nucía - Rayo Ibense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Nacho Porcar ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Canto S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 4 - 0, Ramirez L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

La Nucía is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rayo Ibense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match La Nucía is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's La Nucía to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 3 head-to-head matches La Nucía won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams La Nucía won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
02.03.25	Soneja - La Nucía	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	La Nucía - Castellon B	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Torrellano - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	La Nucía - Atlético Saguntino	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Crevillente Deportivo - La Nucía	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTTW
- UD Rayo Ibense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
01.03.25	Rayo Ibense - Utiel	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Rayo Ibense - Soneja	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Castellon B - Rayo Ibense	4:0 ✺
08.02.25	Rayo Ibense - Torrellano	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Atlético Saguntino - Rayo Ibense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
27.10.24	Rayo Ibense - La Nucía	0:1
16.09.18	Rayo Ibense - La Nucía	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.04.18	La Nucía - Rayo Ibense	4:0

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