Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	La Nucía		Castellon B

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	1.97	3.39	3.5	Watch
	1.94	3.38	3.48
	1.95	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.91)	3.39 ↑ (3.3)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
46.7%

Draw
26.9%

Castellon B
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.4%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

26.1%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

La Nucía - Castellon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Morgado P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 2 - 0, Canto S. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

La Nucía is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castellon B is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castellon B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

La Nucía will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches La Nucía won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.02.25	Torrellano - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	La Nucía - Atlético Saguntino	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Crevillente Deportivo - La Nucía	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.01.25	La Nucía - Levadia Tallinn	1:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
19.01.25	Levante B - La Nucía	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 TTWWW
- CD Castellón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.02.25	Castellon B - Rayo Ibense	4:0 ✺
08.02.25	Soneja - Castellon B	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Castellon B - Utiel	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Castellon B - Torrellano	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Atlético Saguntino - Castellon B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
23.10.24	Castellon B - La Nucía	2:4

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