Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	La Piedad		Lobos ULMX

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.41	4.4	6.2
	1.41	4.25	7.11
	1.4	4.26	7.32	Watch
	1.38	4.3	7.06	Watch
	1.41	4.4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)	4.3 ↑ (4.2)	6.65 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Piedad
65.1%

Draw
21.2%

Lobos ULMX
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

21.6%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

14%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Piedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Lobos ULMX has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Piedad than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Piedad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos ULMX than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lobos ULMX could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

La Piedad - Lobos ULMX Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Rodea R. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Piedad
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
06.11.24	Petroleros Salamanca - La Piedad	3:1 ✺
02.11.24	Irapuato - La Piedad	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	La Piedad - Colima	4:0 ✺
19.10.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - La Piedad	1:3 ✺
16.10.24	La Piedad - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWL
- Lobos ULMX
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
02.11.24	Lobos ULMX - Petroleros Salamanca	0:2 ✺
25.10.24	Halcones - Lobos ULMX	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Lobos ULMX - Zacatepec Siglo	1:4 ✺
16.10.24	Aguacateros de Peribán - Lobos ULMX	6:2 ✺
12.10.24	Lobos ULMX - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.03.24	Lobos ULMX - La Piedad	0:3
14.10.23	La Piedad - Lobos ULMX	1:0
25.02.23	Lobos ULMX - La Piedad	3:2
02.10.22	La Piedad - Lobos ULMX	2:1
07.02.22	La Piedad - Lobos ULMX	1:2
10.10.21	Lobos ULMX - La Piedad	0:1

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