Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Lobos ULMX		Petroleros Salamanca

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.8
	3.4	3.5	1.92
	3.75	3.4	1.79
	4.36	3.52	1.74	Watch
	4.11	3.7	1.8	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.01)	3.5 ↑ (3.43)	1.83 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lobos ULMX
24.1%

Draw
26%

Petroleros Salamanca
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.5%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lobos ULMX has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lobos ULMX's form might have worsened.

Petroleros Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petroleros Salamanca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos ULMX than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lobos ULMX, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petroleros Salamanca than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petroleros Salamanca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lobos ULMX - Petroleros Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, ⚽,
89', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 4).

Lobos ULMX is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Petroleros Salamanca is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lobos ULMX could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Petroleros Salamanca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lobos ULMX won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Lobos ULMX won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lobos ULMX
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.10.24	Halcones - Lobos ULMX	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Lobos ULMX - Zacatepec Siglo	1:4 ✺
16.10.24	Aguacateros de Peribán - Lobos ULMX	6:2 ✺
12.10.24	Lobos ULMX - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:2 ✺
07.10.24	Canamy - Lobos ULMX	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLLT
- Petroleros Salamanca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
26.10.24	Petroleros Salamanca - Irapuato	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Colima - Petroleros Salamanca	0:2 ✺
16.10.24	Petroleros Salamanca - Correcaminos UAT 2	4:0 ✺
12.10.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Petroleros Salamanca	3:2 penalties ✺
27.09.24	Petroleros Salamanca - Canamy	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
26.01.24	Petroleros Salamanca - Lobos ULMX	1:0
26.08.23	Lobos ULMX - Petroleros Salamanca	1:0

Lobos ULMX - Petroleros Salamanca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide