Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 22

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	La Piedad		Zapotlanejo

	1	X	2
	1.44	5.53	4.73	Watch
	1.4	5	4.8
	1.45	5.1	4.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.96)	5.21 ↑ (3.88)	4.79 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Piedad
63.6%

Draw
17.4%

Zapotlanejo
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

23.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

22.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Piedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in La Piedad's performance.

Zapotlanejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zapotlanejo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Piedad than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Piedad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zapotlanejo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zapotlanejo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

La Piedad - Zapotlanejo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, ⚽,
17', 2 - 1, ⚽,
22', 2 - 2, ⚽,
42', 2 - 3, ⚽,
43', 3 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 4 - 3, ⚽,
67', 4 - 4, ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

La Piedad might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, La Piedad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Piedad
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.02.26	La Piedad - Tuzos UAZ	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	La Piedad - Colima	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Leones Negros 2 - La Piedad	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	La Piedad - Los Cabos United	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Tigres de Álica - La Piedad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLL
- ACF Zapotlanejo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.02.26	Leones Negros 2 - Zapotlanejo	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Zapotlanejo - Los Cabos United	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Tigres de Álica - Zapotlanejo	5:1 ✺
01.02.26	Zapotlanejo - Tritones Vallarta	3:2 ✺
23.01.26	Tecos FC - Zapotlanejo	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
19.10.25	Zapotlanejo - La Piedad	1:3

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