Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 18

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Leones Negros 2		La Piedad

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.72	4.45
	1.63	4.04	4.41	Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.5
	1.59	3.7	4.94
	1.6	3.66	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)	3.76 ↓ (4.03)	4.53 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones Negros 2
56%

Draw
24%

La Piedad
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

22.9%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

La Piedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Leones Negros 2 - La Piedad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+25', 2 - 1, ⚽,
45+27', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 12).

La Piedad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leones Negros 2 is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Leones Negros 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.01.26	Colima - Leones Negros 2	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Leones Negros 2 - Los Cabos United	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Tigres de Álica - Leones Negros 2	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Leones Negros 2 - Tecos FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW
- La Piedad
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
31.01.26	La Piedad - Los Cabos United	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Tigres de Álica - La Piedad	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	La Piedad - Tritones Vallarta	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Tecos FC - La Piedad	4:1 ✺
17.11.25	La Piedad - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
20.09.25	La Piedad - Leones Negros 2	1:2
12.02.21	La Piedad - Leones Negros 2	4:0
17.10.20	Leones Negros 2 - La Piedad	0:1

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