Match Info

BRAZIL: SERGIPANO - ROUND 9

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday


	Lagarto		Confiança

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	2.7
	2.35	3	2.95	Watch
	2.41	2.82	2.99
	2.41	2.82	2.99
	2.33	3.02	2.98
	2.35	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.43)	2.93 ↓ (3.2)	2.93 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagarto
38.1%

Draw
30.9%

Confiança
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

28.2%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

27%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lagarto won 1.

Lagarto is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Confiança is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Confiança could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lagarto won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Lagarto won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
09.03.24	Itabaiana - Lagarto	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Lagarto - Carmópolis	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Olimpico EC - Lagarto	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Lagarto - Dorense	3:1 ✺
31.01.24	Sergipe - Lagarto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWWT
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
03.03.24	Confiança - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Murici - Confiança	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
22.02.24	Confiança - Atlético Gloriense	4:0 ✺
10.02.24	América de Propriá - Confiança	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Sergipe - Confiança	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
09.04.23	Confiança - Lagarto	2:0
01.04.23	Lagarto - Confiança	0:0
04.03.23	Confiança - Lagarto	2:0
21.01.20	Confiança - Lagarto	0:0
27.02.19	Confiança - Lagarto	1:4
07.03.18	Confiança - Lagarto	0:0
27.01.18	Lagarto - Confiança	0:0

Lagarto - Confiança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide