Match Info
Serie D - Round 5Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Lagarto |
|
Serra Branca |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
|
 |
2.39 |
2.9 |
2.92 |
|
 |
2.52 |
2.74 |
3.08 |
 Watch |
 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.4 |
2.89 |
2.96 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.16) |
2.87 ↓
(3.14) |
2.89 ↓
(3.13) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lagarto
37.4% | Draw
31.5% | Serra Branca
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Serra Branca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lagarto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (-2.7%)Lagarto - Serra Branca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Rhuann ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', 1 - 1, Clayton ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 2, Leo Cotia (Own goal),
Preview
Lagarto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Serra Branca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win. Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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