Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 8

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal da Vidigueira (Vidigueira)


	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira		Lagoa

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.18
	2.87	3.13	2.35	Watch
	3.01	3.06	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.32)	3.1 ↑ (3)	2.26 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
30.6%

Draw
29.3%

Lagoa
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.3%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

30.3%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama Vidigueira's form might have worsened.

Lagoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lagoa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lagoa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Lagoa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Lagoa (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lagoa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', (Pen),
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,
89', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Vasco da Gama has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lagoa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vasco da Gama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vasco da Gama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Vasco da Gama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
26.10.25	Moncarapachense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Comércio e Indústria	0:3 ✺
28.09.25	Serpa - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	São João de Ver - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	6:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.09.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Alcochetense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Lagoa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
25.10.25	Lagoa - Elvas	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Moncarapachense - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Lagoa - Juventude de Évora	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Comércio e Indústria - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Lagoa - Louletano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
30.08.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Lagoa	2:1

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Lagoa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide