Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 22

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lagoa		Estrela da Amadora B

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.49	2.95	2.8
	2.5	2.99	2.86
	2.45	2.93	2.77
	2.49	2.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.15)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	2.87 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagoa
37.9%

Draw
30.4%

Estrela da Amadora B
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.3%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Estrela da Amadora B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lagoa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora B than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Lagoa - Estrela da Amadora B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lagoa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lagoa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagoa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.03.25	Sintrense - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Lagoa - Louletano	0:5 ✺
15.02.25	Comércio e Indústria - Lagoa	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Lagoa - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Lagoa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLWTL
- Estrela da Amadora B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.03.25	Barreirense - Estrela da Amadora B	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Louletano - Estrela da Amadora B	3:3 ✺
08.02.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Comércio e Indústria	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Moncarapachense - Estrela da Amadora B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
10.11.24	Estrela da Amadora B - Lagoa	1:1

Lagoa - Estrela da Amadora B