Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 25

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Lagoa		Moura

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.8
	2.17	3.5	2.85
	2	3.62	3.1
	2.17	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.8)	3.48 ↑ (3.32)	2.9 ↓ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagoa
42.7%

Draw
26%

Moura
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.4%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.3%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lagoa's form might have worsened.

Moura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lagoa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moura than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lagoa - Moura Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Moura (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moura (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Marques D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Moura have a series of home games.

In this match Lagoa is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lagoa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagoa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.03.25	Amora - Lagoa	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Barreirense - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Lagoa - Estrela da Amadora B	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Sintrense - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Lagoa - Louletano	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTTL
- Moura AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.03.25	Moura - Estrela da Amadora B	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Moura - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Moura - Louletano	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Comércio e Indústria - Moura	2:3 ✺
23.02.25	Moura - Moncarapachense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.12.24	Moura - Lagoa	2:1

Lagoa - Moura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide