Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 22

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Moura		Louletano

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.1	1.4
	6.4	4.2	1.42
	7.21	4.33	1.39
	6.54	4.05	1.43
	6.4	4.2	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.61 ↓ (6.82)	4.18 ↑ (4)	1.41 (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moura
13.8%

Draw
21.8%

Louletano
64.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.3%

22.6%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

21.5%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moura than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Moura - Louletano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 3).

Moura is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Louletano is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Louletano is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moura won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moura AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.03.25	Comércio e Indústria - Moura	2:3 ✺
23.02.25	Moura - Moncarapachense	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Moura	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Moura - Fabril do Barreiro	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Operário - Moura	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTLL
- Louletano DC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.03.25	Louletano - Amora	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Lagoa - Louletano	0:5 ✺
15.02.25	Louletano - Estrela da Amadora B	3:3 ✺
09.02.25	Sintrense - Louletano	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Barreirense - Louletano	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
10.11.24	Louletano - Moura	4:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.12.20	Louletano - Moura	1:0

Moura - Louletano