Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 10

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Lagun Onak		Aurrerá Ondarroa

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5.25
	1.65	3.4	5
	1.7	3.21	4.68
	1.71	3.21	4.68
	1.62	3.3	5.5
	1.65	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.33)	3.3 ↓ (4.55)	5.02 ↓ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagun Onak
54.6%

Draw
27.4%

Aurrerá Ondarroa
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

19.9%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

18.6%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagun Onak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lagun Onak's form might have worsened.

Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurrerá Ondarroa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lagun Onak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurrerá Ondarroa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Lagun Onak is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aurrerá Ondarroa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Lagun Onak is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lagun Onak to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lagun Onak won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lagun Onak won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
05.11.23	Basconia - Lagun Onak	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Lagun Onak - Añorga	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Alavés C - Lagun Onak	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Lagun Onak - Deusto	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Leioa - Lagun Onak	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWWW
- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
05.11.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Vitoria	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Pasaia - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Padura	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Touring KE - Aurrerá Ondarroa	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - San Ignacio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.02.23	Lagun Onak - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:1
09.10.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Lagun Onak	0:2
20.02.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Lagun Onak	0:1
16.10.21	Lagun Onak - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:0

Lagun Onak - Aurrerá Ondarroa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide