Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Laguna		Sousa

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.05	1.92
	3.45	3.11	2.02
	3.5	2.88	2
	3.76	3	2.04
	3.6	3.25	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.6)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)	1.98 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laguna
25%

Draw
29.5%

Sousa
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

27.7%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

25.7%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Laguna have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laguna than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Laguna - Sousa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 1, Matheus Bambu ⚽,

Preview

Laguna is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sousa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sousa is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Laguna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Laguna
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	Sousa - Laguna	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Laguna - América RN	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Maguary - Laguna	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	ABC - Laguna	4:0 ✺
05.04.26	Laguna - Central SC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Sousa
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	Sousa - Laguna	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	CRB Maceio - Sousa	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Sousa - ABC	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Central SC - Sousa	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Sousa - Juazeirense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	Sousa - Laguna	1:0

Laguna - Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide