Match Info

Kakkonen Group A

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Lahden kisapuisto (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lahden Reipas		HIFK

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.75	2.80
	2.45	3.70	2.23
	2.10	4.05	2.72
	2.34	4.03	2.39	Watch
	2.01	4.05	2.75
	2.10	4.08	2.88
	1.95	3.95	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.7)	3.94 ↑ (3.75)	2.65 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahden Reipas
42.6%

Draw
23.1%

HIFK
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

23.7%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

23.2%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahden Reipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lahden Reipas's performance.

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HIFK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lahden Reipas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HIFK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lahden Reipas - HIFK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ratto V. (G) 24. Helttunen O. 17. Jarvinen L. 10. Kose B. (C) 6. Kuparinen E. 23. Mynttinen J. 7. Ojanen J. 8. Paalanen A. 25. Vaisanen K. 16. Vatanen M. 19. Verkko M.	1. Jammeh S. (C) 80. Adam Y. 77. Ahadi M. 15. Auranen A. 21. Hypponen A. 13. Khayat H. 17. Kujanpaa A. 23. Kurvinen T. 20. Pirttinen N. 4. Puro E. 5. Saynio E.
Substitutes
11. Belhout Y. 31. Hajdinaj G. (G) 5. Kautonen T. 21. Kuparinen E. 12. Ndabawedje E. 22. Nykanen H. 14. Ozel M. 20. Salmensuu E. 18. Saltykov T.	16. Alakotila F. 10. Erikson Carlos 6. Hukka N. 8. Westerlund P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Jarvinen L. ↓, Ozel M. ↑,
45+3', Khayat H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ahadi M. ↓, Hukka N. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Hypponen A. ⚽,
60', Ozel M. 🟨,
60', Pirttinen N. 🟨,
63', Auranen A. 🟨,
63', Kuparinen E. ↓,
63', Helttunen O. ↓, Salmensuu E. ↑,
64', Ojanen J. ↓, Ndabawedje E. ↑,
81', Hypponen A. ↓, Erikson Carlos ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Salmensuu E. ⚽,
87', Paalanen A. ↓, Nykanen H. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: )).

In recent matches, Reipas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

HIFK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

HIFK will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Reipas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lahden Reipas
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
04.07.26	HPS - Lahden Reipas	3:2 ✺
27.06.26	Kiffen 08 - Lahden Reipas	3:2 ✺
13.06.26	Lahden Reipas - Union Plaani	4:2 ✺
04.06.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - Lahden Reipas	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Lahden Reipas - Atlantis Helsinki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLW
- HIFK
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
04.07.26	HIFK - MYPA	4:0 ✺
27.06.26	Union Plaani - HIFK	0:3 ✺
13.06.26	HIFK - PEPO Lappeenranta	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Atlantis Helsinki - HIFK	3:2 ✺
29.05.26	Puistolan Urheilijat - HIFK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
03.05.26	HIFK - Lahden Reipas	2:1

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