Match Info

Kakkonen Group A

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Briotech Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	HPS		Lahden Reipas

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.75	2.05
	2.63	3.65	2.14
	2.91	4.11	2.04
	2.72	3.96	2.12	Watch
	2.85	4.00	1.98
	2.86	4.16	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.6)	3.94 ↑ (3.65)	2.07 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

HPS
32.8%

Draw
23.1%

Lahden Reipas
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

24.4%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

24.8%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lahden Reipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPS than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (-2%)

HPS - Lahden Reipas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Tamminen J. (G) 15. Blumme V. 21. Boughrara H. 12. Kajanoja K. 46. Lamberg E. 14. Lilja S. 20. Lindstrom A. 2. Merilainen K. 4. Niskanen M. 28. Oris J. 10. Rekola B.	13. Ratto V. (G) 24. Helttunen O. 5. Kautonen T. 10. Kose B. (C) 6. Kuparinen E. 12. Ndabawedje E. 22. Nykanen H. 14. Ozel M. 8. Paalanen A. 25. Vaisanen K. 19. Verkko M.
Substitutes
18. Camara I. 27. Gronberg S. 1. Hallikainen L. 23. Heiskanen L. 22. Omar A. 45. Painilainen A. 11. Ryhanen T. 7. Simonov I. 24. Sipola J.	11. Belhout Y. 31. Hajdinaj G. (G) 17. Jarvinen L. 21. Kuparinen E. 23. Mynttinen J. 20. Salmensuu E. 18. Saltykov T. 16. Vatanen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Rekola B. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Rekola B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kautonen T. ↓, Vatanen M. ↑,
46', Nykanen H. ↓, Mynttinen J. ↑,
58', Ndabawedje E. ↓, Jarvinen L. ↑,
63', Rekola B. ↓, Gronberg S. ↑,
64', Niskanen M. ↓, Simonov I. ↑,
68', Tamminen J. 🟨,
68', Helttunen O. ↓, Salmensuu E. ↑,
71', Oris J. 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Kose B. (Penalty Awarded),
73', 2 - 2, Jarvinen L. ⚽,
76', Mynttinen J. 🟨,
77', 3 - 2, Merilainen K. ⚽,
81', Paalanen A. ↓, Kuparinen E. ↑,
85', Boughrara H. ↓, Heiskanen L. ↑,
85', Lindstrom A. ↓, Ryhanen T. ↑,
90+1', Kajanoja K. ↓, Sipola J. ↑,
90+2', Vatanen M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: )).

HPS is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Reipas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, HPS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingin Palloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
27.06.26	Puistolan Urheilijat - HPS	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	HPS - Kiffen 08	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Union Plaani - HPS	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	HPS - PPJ Ruoholahti	2:2 ✺
22.05.26	HIFK - HPS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWTW
- Lahden Reipas
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
27.06.26	Kiffen 08 - Lahden Reipas	3:2 ✺
13.06.26	Lahden Reipas - Union Plaani	4:2 ✺
04.06.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - Lahden Reipas	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Lahden Reipas - Atlantis Helsinki	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	PPJ Ruoholahti - Lahden Reipas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
24.04.26	Lahden Reipas - HPS	2:2

Upcoming Matches