Match Info

Kakkonen Group A - Losers stage

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Lahden kisapuisto (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Lahden Reipas		MYPA

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.50	4.33
	1.52	5.23	4.4
	1.53	4.99	4.16	Watch
	1.48	5.1	3.8
	1.47	4.8	4.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	4.92 ↑ (4.3)	4.26 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahden Reipas
60.3%

Draw
18.4%

MYPA
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

21%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

20.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Lahden Reipas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

MYPA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MYPA than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Lahden Reipas - MYPA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ratto V. (G) 22. Flood P. 24. Helttunen O. 10. Kose B. (C) 21. Kuparinen E. 12. Ndabawedje E. 8. Paalanen A. 20. Salmensuu E. 18. Saltykov T. 25. Vaisanen K. 19. Verkko M.	99. Kaikkonen A. (G) 3. Erjanko J. 9. Haimi O. 15. Hernesniemi S. 87. Hietala V. 13. Kahkonen O. (C) 37. Niemi V. 18. Onatsu A. 22. Pykalainen P. 34. Rautomaki N. 8. Ritola N.
Substitutes
15. Ayri H. 11. Belhout Y. 31. Harkonen O. (G) 3. Kuusimaki L. 23. Mynttinen J. 14. Toukonen M. 7. Viitanen V.	19. Ahola K. 2. Ekman V. 61. Karppanen V. 6. Koykka M. 1. Laine L. (G) 16. Rama J. 5. Rauos J. 27. Turunen V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Paalanen A. ⚽,
28', Hietala V. 🟨,
35', Flood P. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Paalanen A. ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, Kose B. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
52', 4 - 0, Paalanen A. ⚽,
54', Salmensuu E. 🟨,
57', Ritola N. 🟨,
65', 5 - 0, Kose B. ⚽,
66', Ritola N. ↓, Turunen V. ↑,
66', Rautomaki N. ↓, Karppanen V. ↑,
67', Salmensuu E. ↓, Ayri H. ↑,
75', 5 - 1, Turunen V. ⚽,
77', 6 - 1, Kose B. ⚽,
78', Niemi V. 🟨,
79', 7 - 1, Kose B. ⚽,
81', Kuparinen E. ↓, Mynttinen J. ↑,
84', Hernesniemi S. 🟨,
90+1', Ahola K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reipas won 4.

Reipas is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

MYPA has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Reipas for this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Reipas has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:17 (averaging 3:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Reipas against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 16:6 goals (averaging 4:1.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lahden Reipas
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
19.09.26	Union Plaani - Lahden Reipas	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Lahden Reipas - Puistolan Urheilijat	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	MYPA - Lahden Reipas	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Union Plaani - Lahden Reipas	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Lahden Reipas - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- MYPA
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
19.09.26	Puistolan Urheilijat - MYPA	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	MYPA - Union Plaani	2:3 ✺
04.09.26	MYPA - Lahden Reipas	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	MYPA - Puistolan Urheilijat	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	PPJ Ruoholahti - MYPA	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
04.09.26	MYPA - Lahden Reipas	5:1
25.07.26	Lahden Reipas - MYPA	4:2
16.05.26	MYPA - Lahden Reipas	0:5
09.08.25	Lahden Reipas - MYPA	4:2
08.06.25	MYPA - Lahden Reipas	1:3
03.07.24	Lahden Reipas - MYPA	5:0
26.04.24	MYPA - Lahden Reipas	3:1

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