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Current Win Probability
MYPA 44.3%
Draw 23.2%
Union Plaani 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
22.6%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
23.6%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MYPA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MYPA's form might have worsened.
Union Plaani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MYPA than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MYPA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Plaani than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union Plaani, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
MYPA - Union Plaani Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Voutilainen N. (G) 19. Ahola K. 3. Erjanko J. 4. Eskelinen O. 15. Hernesniemi S. 13. Kahkonen O. (C) 37. Niemi V. 14. Piira V. 22. Pykalainen P. 16. Rama J. 27. Turunen V.
30. Hirvonen O. (G) 44. Afila V. 33. Hahl J. (C) 10. Harjula S. 77. Hassan M. 25. Hertsi L. 17. Kettunen T. 11. Kuokkanen N. 34. Kurki T. 18. Paakkanen S. 26. Rowe H.
Substitutes
2. Ekman V. 26. Kaddouri K. 6. Koykka M. 1. Laine L. (G) 21. Mehtojarvi K. 18. Onatsu A. 28. Rauhala O. 20. Saarelainen A.
28. Abdi T. 2. Ala-Kauhaluoma L. 23. Kimari O. 9. Kivisto N. 14. Kurki V. 84. Lahti R. 16. Nikulainen V. 29. Nykanen A. 1. Tirronen R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Kuokkanen N. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Hassan M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Eskelinen O. ↓, Koykka M. ↑,
46', Pykalainen P. ↓, Ekman V. ↑,
56', Erjanko J. 🟨,
62', Afila V. 🟨,
64', 1 - 2, Erjanko J. ⚽,
65', Kuokkanen N. ↓, Ala-Kauhaluoma L. ↑,
65', Harjula S. ↓, Kimari O. ↑,
65', Piira V. ↓, Onatsu A. ↑,
75', Hassan M. ↓, Nikulainen V. ↑,
75', Hahl J. ↓, Abdi T. ↑,
86', Ahola K. ↓, Kaddouri K. ↑,
88', Koykka M. 🟨,
90', Niemi V. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Saarelainen A. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, Afila V. ⚽,
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
MYPA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, MYPA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Including home match between the teams, MYPA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.