Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Lahden Stadion (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Lahti		Ekenäs

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	3.45	3.5	Watch
	2.04	3.6	3.68
	2.28	3.36	3.00	Watch
	1.96	3.52	3.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.98)	3.48 ↓ (3.63)	3.41 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahti
45.7%

Draw
26.9%

Ekenäs
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.5%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

24.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ekenäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lahti - Ekenäs Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - EIF (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - EIF (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lahti will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lahti will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lahti (votes: 3 - 60%). EIF (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Maukonen O. (G) 4. David 7. Heikkinen D. 95. Kante A. 77. Karkulowski T. 11. Koskinen O. 9. Lindholm A. 19. Martim Augusto 6. Pami M. 3. Sans R. 21. Vainionpaa M. (C)	1. Ramilson (G) 8. Adu E. 3. Forsstrom A. 22. Kaleba T. 6. Karlsson J. 35. Leksell A. 4. Manga T. 11. Mohammed N. 70. Moro M. 9. Ojala S. 17. Sid R. (C)
Substitutes
24. Babiker A. 5. Casagrande P. 15. Hasa N. 23. Huovila V. 25. Inkinen T. 18. Jokiranta V. 14. Laamanen E. 8. Peltola A. 1. Tiainen J. (G)	15. Bjorklund A. 25. Gottberg J. 96. Gronblom W. 33. Linnas O. (G) 10. Lucas Kaufmann 5. Pakkanen R. 18. Sivonen A. 14. Stenius S. 24. Stynes D.
Coaches
Pereira G.	Sund C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Lindholm A. ⚽, Heikkinen D. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Forsstrom A. ⚽, Sid R. (A),
26', Karlsson J. 🟨,
29', Forsstrom A. 🟨,
36', Moro M. ↓, Sivonen A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Koskinen O. ⚽, Heikkinen D. (A),
58', Leksell A. 🟨,
65', Kante A. 🟨,
69', Karlsson J. ↓, Stenius S. ↑,
72', Pami M. 🟨,
80', Pami M. ↓, Peltola A. ↑,
82', Adu E. 🟨,
83', Martim Augusto 🟨,
85', Koskinen O. ↓, Hasa N. ↑,
85', Kante A. ↓, Huovila V. ↑,
87', Peltola A. 🟨,
89', Martim Augusto ↓, Casagrande P. ↑,
89', Lindholm A. ↓, Babiker A. ↑,
90+7', 3 - 1, Huovila V. ⚽, Sans R. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Promotion: ) and 3).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lahti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lahti will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lahti won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lahti
Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.07.25	JäPS - Lahti	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	KaPa - Lahti	2:2 ✺
14.07.25	Lahti - TPS	2:2 ✺
08.07.25	SJK Akatemia - Lahti	0:3 ✺
03.07.25	Lahti - JIPPO	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTWW
- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.07.25	Ekenäs - TPS	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	JIPPO - Ekenäs	3:2 ✺
13.07.25	Ekenäs - SJK Akatemia	3:1 ✺
09.07.25	Ekenäs - Salon Palloilijat	4:0 ✺
05.07.25	Klubi 04 - Ekenäs	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
06.06.25	Ekenäs - Lahti	0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
19.10.24	Lahti - Ekenäs	0:0
09.08.24	Lahti - Ekenäs	4:0
19.05.24	Ekenäs - Lahti	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
03.02.24	Lahti - Ekenäs	2:1

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