Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Location: Järvenpään keskuskenttä (Järvenpää)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	JäPS		Lahti

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.9	4.75	1.41	Watch
	5.97	4.97	1.45
	5.35	4.21	1.55	Watch
	6	4.75	1.33
	6.13	4.75	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.87 ↑ (5.33)	4.69 ↑ (4.67)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JäPS
15.7%

Draw
19.7%

Lahti
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

19.8%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

19%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Lahti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

JäPS - Lahti Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. JäPS will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lahti will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lahti: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lahti (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Mustafa B. (G) 10. Ahola V. 5. Arminen T. 3. Haikonen P. 8. Heidari R. 6. Jama O. (C) 4. Nikki J. 20. Olander H. 80. Pallas E. 13. Sainio A. 27. Soderlund I.	31. Maukonen O. (C) 5. Casagrande P. 4. David 15. Hasa N. 95. Kante A. 77. Karkulowski T. 9. Lindholm A. 19. Martim Augusto 6. Pami M. 8. Peltola A. 3. Sans R.
Substitutes
23. Hahl H. 21. Holopainen J. 15. Hvidberg D. 19. Kuosa H. 1. Laiho J. (G) 17. Sivunen J. 14. Tapani J. 18. Virtanen J.	24. Babiker A. 7. Heikkinen D. 23. Huovila V. 25. Inkinen T. 18. Jokiranta V. 14. Laamanen E. 30. Munukka A. (G) 20. Muzinga J. 21. Vainionpaa M.
Coaches
Kankkunen T.	Pereira G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Ahola V. ⚽, Pallas E. (A),
26', Sainio A. 🟨,
28', Sainio A. ↓, Virtanen J. ↑,
38', 1 - 1, Lindholm A. ⚽, Martim Augusto (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Heidari R. ↓, Tapani J. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Soderlund I. ⚽,
54', Kante A. 🟨,
58', Sans R. ↓, Inkinen T. ↑,
58', Pami M. ↓, Huovila V. ↑,
58', Lindholm A. ↓, Muzinga J. ↑,
63', Muzinga J. 🟨,
64', Soderlund I. ↓, Holopainen J. ↑,
75', Tapani J. 🟨,
77', Virtanen J. 🟨,
78', Karkulowski T. ↓, Jokiranta V. ↑,
81', Heikkinen D. 🟨,
82', Nikki J. 🟨,
84', Ahola V. ↓, Kuosa H. ↑,
90+6', Kante A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Promotion: )).

JäPS is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lahti is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Lahti is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, JäPS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
19.07.25	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	4:1 ✺
13.07.25	JäPS - PK-35 Vantaa	1:4 ✺
08.07.25	JIPPO - JäPS	1:1 ✺
04.07.25	JäPS - Salon Palloilijat	4:3 ✺
27.06.25	TPS - JäPS	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTWL
- FC Lahti
Finnish Ykkosliiga
19.07.25	KaPa - Lahti	2:2 ✺
14.07.25	Lahti - TPS	2:2 ✺
08.07.25	SJK Akatemia - Lahti	0:3 ✺
03.07.25	Lahti - JIPPO	3:2 ✺
28.06.25	Salon Palloilijat - Lahti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
02.06.25	Lahti - JäPS	2:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.02.25	JäPS - Lahti	0:1
Club Friendly
21.12.24	Lahti - JäPS	3:0
21.12.23	Lahti - JäPS	1:1
Finnish Cup
28.06.22	Lahti - JäPS	2:1

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