Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 12

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo Municipal Manuel Linhares Lima (Lajes)


	Lajense		Marinhense

	1	X	2
	2.08	3	3.3
	1.98	3.13	3.31
	2.06	3.22	3.37	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.12	3.04	3.33
	2.05	3.1	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.76)	3.07 ↓ (3.23)	3.32 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lajense
43.6%

Draw
29.4%

Marinhense
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

28%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

27.1%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lajense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lajense's form might have worsened.

Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marinhense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lajense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marinhense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lajense - Marinhense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 🟥,
76', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation)

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Lajense is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JD Lajense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
07.12.25	Lajense - Naval	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	SC Lusitânia - Lajense	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Vitória de Sernache - Lajense	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Lajense - Mortágua	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	União da Serra - Lajense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLTL
- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
06.12.25	SC Lusitânia - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Marinhense - União da Serra	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Marinhense	3:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.11.25	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Marinhense - Eléctrico	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLLT

Lajense - Marinhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide