Match Info

Super League - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Panetolikos Stadium (Agrinio)

Referee: Ioannis P. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2


	Panetolikos		Athens Kallithea

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.75
	2.65	3.1	2.7
	2.75	3.05	2.75
	2.87	3.06	2.76
	2.66	3.1	2.68	Watch
	2.62	2.9	2.7
	2.73	3.1	2.73	Watch
	2.75	3.05	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.73)	3.06 ↓ (3.06)	2.73 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panetolikos
34.7%

Draw
30.8%

Athens Kallithea
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

30.8%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

30.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panetolikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Athens Kallithea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Panetolikos - Athens Kallithea Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Panetolikos will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Athens Kallithea will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panetolikos: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Panetolikos (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Panetolikos will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Panetolikos (votes: 4 - 80%). Athens Kallithea (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Chaves L. (G) 35. Mavrias Ch. 5. Mladen S. 4. Pantelakis E. 49. Stajic N. 65. Apostolopoulos A. 90. Luis M. 10. Perez F. 18. Bouzoukis G. 11. Lajud Martinez D. 9. Tetteh A.	24. Gelios I. (G) 23. Soiri P. 58. Pasalidis T. 37. Tsivelekidis G. 11. Kainourgios N. 77. Isimat-Mirin N. 29. Mellado M. 26. Mercati A. 95. Lebon K. 10. Demethryus 9. Alfarela M.
Substitutes
23. Agapakis G. 8. Belevonis C. 45. Galiatsos D. 33. Hoxha D. 6. Kontouris S. 3. Manos C. 77. Nikolaou V. 1. Pardalos M. (G) 20. Roa A.	18. Giani E. 25. Loukinas G. 8. Matilla J. 5. McGarry J. 2. Mejias J. 21. Metaxas D. 3. Nikolic N. 1. Pantos A. (G) 28. Valbuena M.
Coaches
Petrakis G.	Malezas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Mercati A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Alfarela M. ⚽, Demethryus (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luis M. ↓, Belevonis C. ↑,
62', Mercati A. ↓, Metaxas D. ↑,
62', Pasalidis T. ↓, Mejias J. ↑,
62', Apostolopoulos A. ↓, Nikolaou V. ↑,
63', Mellado M. 🟨,
71', Lajud Martinez D. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
72', Tsivelekidis G. 🟨,
72', Tetteh A. 🟨,
75', Lebon K. ↓, Valbuena M. ↑,
75', Mejias J. 🟨,
80', Mladen S. 🟨,
81', Bouzoukis G. ↓, Kontouris S. ↑,
81', Mavrias Ch. ↓, Hoxha D. ↑,
85', Kainourgios N. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
87', Alfarela M. ↓, Loukinas G. ↑,
87', Demethryus ↓, Matilla J. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Panetolikos: Diaz S. (Inactive) Liavas G. (Red Card) Lomonaco S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Athens Kallithea: Barragan B. (Knee Injury) Mughe F. R. (Inactive) Ndiaye M. (Inactive)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Panetolikos won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:6 (average 2.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Panetolikos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panetolikos
Greek Super League
23.04.25	Panserraikos - Panetolikos	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Panetolikos - Lamia	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Volos - Panetolikos	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Panetolikos - Levadiakos	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Panetolikos - Levadiakos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTLT
- Athens Kallithea
Greek Super League
23.04.25	Athens Kallithea - Levadiakos	0:3 ✺
12.04.25	Panserraikos - Athens Kallithea	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Lamia - Athens Kallithea	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Athens Kallithea - Volos	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Athens Kallithea - PAOK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
16.02.25	Panetolikos - Athens Kallithea	2:0
02.11.24	Athens Kallithea - Panetolikos	1:1
Greek Cup
17.01.24	Athens Kallithea - Panetolikos	2:2
05.12.23	Panetolikos - Athens Kallithea	3:2
14.12.16	Athens Kallithea - Panetolikos	1:5

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