Match Info

Carling Knockout - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium (Pretoria) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
Kenya	20:00	Gotv
Nigeria	18:00	SuperSport LaLiga


	Mamelodi Sundowns		Marumo Gallants

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.00	9.00
	1.26	4.95	9
	1.27	5.48	10.2
	1.36	4.43	7.7
	1.25	5.2	10
	1.32	5.29	8.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.28)	5.06 ↑ (4.75)	9.04 ↑ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
71.6%

Draw
18.2%

Marumo Gallants
10.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.4%

19%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Marumo Gallants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mamelodi Sundowns - Marumo Gallants Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Goss R. (G) 27. Morena T. 40. Mvala M. (C) 42. Khoza M. 23. Basadien F. 21. Mkhulise S. 38. Ndlovu S. 19. Cele T. 29. van Wyk A. 9. Arthur Sales 13. Rayners I.	16. Mlambo K. (G) 20. Manku P. 22. Rikhotso M. (C) 17. Motsoeneng P. 3. Ntiya-Ntiya S. 13. Ncube K. 19. Pheeha T. 15. Ndlondlo N. 18. Ndlovu M. 38. Sihlali S. 27. Seketso M.
Substitutes
11. Allende M. 12. Leon B. 17. Matthews T. 6. Modiba A. 3. Ndamane K. 1. Onyango D. (G) 14. Saleng M. 10. Santos N. 32. van Rooyen D.	29. Button L. 30. Lako E. (G) 40. Lukhele D. T. 24. Madiba Y. 5. Manaka E. 8. Mbhele S. 9. Moletshe O. 12. Otladisa K. 37. Ralenkoane N.
Coaches
Cardoso M.	Kanalelo R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Basadien F. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Ndlovu S. ⚽, Rayners I. (A),
22', Cele T. 🟨,
33', Ndlondlo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cele T. ↓, Allende M. ↑,
46', Basadien F. ↓, Modiba A. ↑,
65', Arthur Sales ↓, Santos N. ↑,
68', Ncube K. ↓, Otladisa K. ↑,
68', Seketso M. ↓, Moletshe O. ↑,
68', Sihlali S. ↓, Button L. ↑,
75', Mkhulise S. ↓, Matthews T. ↑,
83', van Wyk A. ↓, Saleng M. ↑,
83', Ndlovu M. ↓, Mbhele S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 3.

Mamelodi Sundowns is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Marumo Gallants could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Mamelodi Sundowns has recorded 11 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:10 (averaging 1.9:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mamelodi Sundowns against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:6 goals (averaging 1.4:0.7 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Mamelodi Sundowns - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 70.42%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
CAF Champions League
23.10.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Wiliete	1:1 ✺
18.10.26	Wiliete - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
13.10.26	Richards Bay - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:4 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
10.10.26	Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2 ✺
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
19.09.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWWW
- Marumo Gallants
South African Premier Soccer League
17.10.26	Sekhukhune United - Marumo Gallants	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Marumo Gallants - Orlando Pirates	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	AmaZulu - Marumo Gallants	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Marumo Gallants - Polokwane City	2:2 ✺
25.08.26	Marumo Gallants - TS Galaxy	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
19.08.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Marumo Gallants	2:0
17.03.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Marumo Gallants	3:1
South African Knockout
04.10.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Marumo Gallants	0:1 penalties
South African Premier Soccer League
17.09.25	Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1
19.02.25	Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:3
South African Knockout
10.11.24	Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2
South African Premier Soccer League
24.09.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Marumo Gallants	4:1

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