The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mamelodi Sundowns 60.4%
Draw 28%
Lamontville Golden Arrows 11.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.1%
25.8%
10%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.8%
25.1%
9.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Lamontville Golden Arrows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mamelodi Sundowns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lamontville Golden Arrows than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Mamelodi Sundowns - Lamontville Golden Arrows Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Goss R. (G) 28. Mdunyelwa Z. 37. Johannes K. 42. Khoza M. 6. Modiba A. (C) 38. Ndlovu S. 11. Allende M. 15. Aubaas B. J. 33. Mailula C. 46. Mokoena B. 35. Mothiba L.
34. Maova E. (C) 3. Shezi K. 26. Agnikoi E. 38. Mabaso N. 20. Maluleke O. 25. Maxwele A. 24. Dlamini N. 41. Zwane N. 49. Gasa N. 18. Dion J. 29. Sithole S.
Substitutes
23. Basadien F. 12. Leon B. 17. Matthews T. 21. Mkhulise S. 27. Morena T. 40. Mvala M. 1. Onyango D. (G) 10. Santos N. 18. Zwane T.
23. Barry S. 22. Karelse J. 17. Khumalo T. 36. Kumalo P. 47. Madonsela S. 35. Mantshiyane T. 27. Mbanjwa T. (G) 44. Mbatha P. 14. Van Rooi A.
Coaches
Cardoso M.
Dladla S. P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Maova E. ↓, Mbanjwa T. ↑,
28', Allende M. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Dion J. ⚽, Shezi K. (A),
43', Johannes K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mabaso N. ↓, Mantshiyane T. ↑,
46', Mothiba L. ↓, Leon B. ↑,
46', Mokoena B. ↓, Matthews T. ↑,
46', Aubaas B. J. 🟨,
56', Aubaas B. J. ↓, Mkhulise S. ↑,
56', Mailula C. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
62', Dion J. ↓, Khumalo T. ↑,
62', Sithole S. ↓, Kumalo P. ↑,
62', Ndlovu S. ↓, Morena T. ↑,
77', Gasa N. ↓, Van Rooi A. ↑,
84', Maluleke O. 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 3.
Mamelodi Sundowns is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Golden Arrows has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Mamelodi Sundowns will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:11. (average 2:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Mamelodi Sundowns won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:2. (average 2.9:0.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Mamelodi Sundowns - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 64.12%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
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Goss R. (G) 
Allende M. 
Maova E. (C) 
Agnikoi E. 
Dion J. 
Leon B. 
Onyango D. (G) 
Santos N. 
Barry S. 
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