Match Info

Thai League 2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 5


	Lampang		Phrae United

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.55
	2.6	3.25	2.42
	2.47	3.14	2.62
	2.54	3.25	2.59	Watch
	2.46	3.15	2.59
	2.55	3.3	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.12)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	2.54 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lampang
36.4%

Draw
27.9%

Phrae United
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lampang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lampang's form might have worsened.

Phrae United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phrae United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lampang than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lampang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phrae United than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phrae United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lampang - Phrae United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Matsunaga T. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Shimizu T. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Matsunaga T. ⚽,
27', 2 - 2, Promkun A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg./

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lampang won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lampang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lampang won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lampang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lampang FC
Thai League 2
26.04.25	Kanchanaburi - Lampang	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Lampang - Chiangmai United	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Ayutthaya United - Lampang	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Lampang - Pattaya United	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Suphanburi - Lampang	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLWT
- Phrae United
Thai League 2
26.04.25	Chiangmai United - Phrae United	1:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
23.04.25	Ratchaburi - Phrae United	7:1 ✺
Thai League 2
20.04.25	Phrae United - Ayutthaya United	0:0 ✺
Thai FA Cup
09.04.25	Phrae United - Nakhon Si United	2:1 ✺
Thai League 2
06.04.25	Kanchanaburi - Phrae United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
04.01.25	Phrae United - Lampang	1:2
17.08.24	Lampang - Phrae United	3:4
07.02.24	Lampang - Phrae United	3:1
30.09.23	Phrae United - Lampang	0:1
17.04.22	Lampang - Phrae United	0:1
28.11.21	Phrae United - Lampang	1:1
17.02.21	Lampang - Phrae United	0:1

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