Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lanciano		Notaresco

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.20	2.55
	2.35	3	2.7
	2.49	3.29	2.59	Watch
	2.35	3.05	2.7
	2.56	3.39	2.61
	2.4	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.35)	3.19 ↑ (3)	2.61 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanciano
37.2%

Draw
28.2%

Notaresco
34.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanciano than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Lanciano - Notaresco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 5th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group F Playoffs).

In recent outings, Lanciano has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Notaresco shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Lanciano may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Notaresco Calcio	9	4	3	2	13:9	4	15
11	Lanciano FC	9	3	2	4	14:15	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lanciano FC
Italian Serie D - Group F
18.10.26	Atletico Ascoli - Lanciano	5:1 ✺
11.10.26	Lanciano - Montecchio Gallo	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	Termoli - Lanciano	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Lanciano - Recanatese	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Lanciano - Trestina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWT
- Notaresco Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
18.10.26	Notaresco - Maceratese	5:2 ✺
10.10.26	Notaresco - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Montecchio Gallo - Notaresco	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Notaresco - Pietralunghese	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Foligno - Notaresco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWTL

Lanciano - Notaresco