Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Montecchio Gallo		Notaresco

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.00	2.55
	2.62	2.95	2.45
	3.15	3.04	2.15
	2.65	3.16	2.5	Watch
	3.1	3	2.12
	3.02	3.33	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.32)	3.08 ↑ (2.95)	2.34 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montecchio Gallo
32%

Draw
29.4%

Notaresco
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

30.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montecchio Gallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montecchio Gallo's form might have worsened.

Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notaresco's recent form is better than expected.

Montecchio Gallo - Notaresco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 1, Mercuri L. ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th and 12th).

Notaresco has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Montecchio Gallo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Notaresco Calcio	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
8	Montecchio Gallo	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montecchio Gallo
Italian Serie D - Group F
27.09.26	Montecchio Gallo - Foligno	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Recanatese - Montecchio Gallo	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Montecchio Gallo - Pietralunghese	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ancona - Montecchio Gallo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TTWW
- Notaresco Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
26.09.26	Notaresco - Pietralunghese	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Foligno - Notaresco	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Teramo - Notaresco	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Notaresco - Ancona	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Pineto - Notaresco	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTLL

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