The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notaresco 50.7%
Draw 27.1%
Maceratese 22.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.1%
28.2%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
26.8%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Maceratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maceratese than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Notaresco - Maceratese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
47', 1 - 2, ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, ⚽,
82', 4 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 5 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th and 15th).
In recent outings, Notaresco has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Maceratese is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Maceratese may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Notaresco for this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Notaresco has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Notaresco against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.
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