Match Info

Superettan - Round 15

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday

Location: Landskrona Idrottsplats (Landskrona)

Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play


	Landskrona		Trelleborg

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.1	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.3
	2.18	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.27	3.55	3.18
	1.60	4.17	4.87	Watch
	2	3.3	3.4
	2.24	3.38	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.77)	3.5 ↓ (3.7)	3.44 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Landskrona
45.6%

Draw
27%

Trelleborg
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

24%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Landskrona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Landskrona's form might have worsened.

Trelleborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trelleborg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Landskrona than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.9%	14.3%	17.9%

Landskrona - Trelleborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Landskrona will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Trelleborg will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Landskrona: 50.6% – 85.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Landskrona (votes: 5 - 50%). Trelleborg (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Landskrona (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Landskrona (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Landskrona (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Trelleborg (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Pettersson M. (G) 18. Perez A. 4. Bruzelius G. 12. Jonsson M. (C) 16. Rahmani R. 11. Bjorkqvist M. 6. Nasstrom H. 10. Capotondi C. 21. Jensen K. 14. Streete C. 9. Sylisufaj E.	12. Nilsson M. (G) 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. (C) 5. Ogwuche A. 15. Godwin E. 16. Asani A. 24. Christiansson V. 10. Vidjeskog A. 8. Ruuska O. 45. Dalugge Z. 11. Culum A.
Substitutes
47. Fosuhene Asare K. 29. Hildeman S. (G) 7. Karlsson V. 24. Lindman E. 15. Mohamed M. 20. Odhiambo X. 8. Smajic A.	21. Alievski E. 7. Andersson J. 17. Bohman F. 42. Brandin O. 25. Lofberg E. 14. Nehme A. 4. Rehn A.
Coaches
Asterhed R.	Haynes K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Nasstrom H. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Capotondi C. ⚽, Streete C. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Ruuska O. ⚽, Culum A. (A),
24', Christiansson V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Nasstrom H. ↓, Smajic A. ↑,
69', Dalugge Z. ↓, Bohman F. ↑,
69', Ruuska O. ↓, Nehme A. ↑,
75', Bjorkqvist M. ↓, Karlsson V. ↑,
79', Asani A. ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
79', Culum A. ↓, Lofberg E. ↑,
80', Perez A. ↓, Fosuhene Asare K. ↑,
82', Bohman F. 🟨,
82', Jonsson M. 🟨,
82', Smajic A. 🟨,
87', 1 - 2, Christiansson V. ⚽, Nehme A. (A),
90+2', Vidjeskog A. ↓, Rehn A. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Landskrona won 4.

Recent performances by Landskrona have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Trelleborg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Trelleborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Landskrona is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Landskrona won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Landskrona won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Landskrona BoIS
Swedish Superettan
28.06.25	Västerås SK - Landskrona	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Landskrona - Örebro	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Kalmar - Landskrona	3:2 ✺
01.06.25	Oddevold - Landskrona	1:2 ✺
26.05.25	Landskrona - Falkenberg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWL
- Trelleborgs FF
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Fremad Amager - Trelleborg	2:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
28.06.25	Trelleborg - Oddevold	0:0 ✺
23.06.25	Sundsvall - Trelleborg	4:2 ✺
15.06.25	Trelleborg - Utsikten	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Örgryte - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
04.08.24	Trelleborg - Landskrona	1:3
01.06.24	Landskrona - Trelleborg	2:0
30.07.23	Trelleborg - Landskrona	0:3
31.05.23	Landskrona - Trelleborg	1:1
27.08.22	Landskrona - Trelleborg	2:1
28.05.22	Trelleborg - Landskrona	1:1
Club Friendly
12.02.22	Landskrona - Trelleborg	0:0

Upcoming Matches