Match Info

Superettan - Round 14

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Vångavallen (Trelleborg)

Referee: Olofsson P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 6, TV4 Play


	Trelleborg		Oddevold

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.25
	2.15	3.2	3.1
				Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.4
				Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.2	3.32	3.19	Watch
	2	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.95)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	3.26 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trelleborg
43.1%

Draw
28.4%

Oddevold
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.1%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

27%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Oddevold has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oddevold than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	18.7%	50%

Trelleborg - Oddevold Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Trelleborg will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Oddevold will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oddevold: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Oddevold (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Oddevold (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Oddevold (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Oddevold (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Oddevold (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsen A. (G) 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. (C) 5. Ogwuche A. 21. Alievski E. 7. Andersson J. 24. Christiansson V. 10. Vidjeskog A. 8. Ruuska O. 17. Bohman F. 25. Lofberg E.	12. Saetra M. (G) 4. Engelbrektsson P. (C) 21. Almqvist A. 3. Hedenquist E. 20. Engelbrektsson A. 16. Derviskadic E. 6. Merbom J. 17. Kjellman Olblad O. 11. Krezic D. 9. Tornblad L. 19. Wiedesheim-Paul R.
Substitutes
27. Baraslievski A. 9. Jaf E. 26. Kack J. 23. Mattsson L. 12. Nilsson M. (G) 4. Rehn A. 37. Svenburg K.	14. Adahl C. 1. Hermansson N. (G) 7. Karlin F. 15. Rogulj A. 5. Snibb A. 13. Stroud A.
Coaches
Haynes K.	Nilsson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Andersson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Ruuska O. ↓, Mattsson L. ↑,
65', Lofberg E. ↓, Kack J. ↑,
65', Derviskadic E. ↓, Adahl C. ↑,
70', Engelbrektsson A. 🟨,
74', Engelbrektsson A. ↓, Stroud A. ↑,
74', Tornblad L. ↓, Rogulj A. ↑,
76', Andersson J. ↓, Baraslievski A. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )).

Recent form of Trelleborg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Oddevold has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Trelleborg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trelleborg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Trelleborg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
23.06.25	Sundsvall - Trelleborg	4:2 ✺
15.06.25	Trelleborg - Utsikten	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Örgryte - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
27.05.25	Trelleborg - Helsingborg	0:0 ✺
21.05.25	Falkenberg - Trelleborg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTL
- IK Oddevold
Swedish Superettan
22.06.25	Oddevold - Varbergs BoIS	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Östersund - Oddevold	1:3 ✺
01.06.25	Oddevold - Landskrona	1:2 ✺
26.05.25	Oddevold - Västerås SK	1:5 ✺
22.05.25	Helsingborg - Oddevold	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
09.11.24	Oddevold - Trelleborg	0:3
31.03.24	Trelleborg - Oddevold	1:2
Swedish Division 1 Södra
04.10.15	Oddevold - Trelleborg	1:1
24.05.15	Trelleborg - Oddevold	4:1
27.09.14	Trelleborg - Oddevold	2:1

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