Match Info

Superettan - Round 13

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday

Location: NP3 Arena (Sundsvall)

Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play


	Sundsvall		Trelleborg

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.87
				Watch
	2.42	3.15	3.2
				Watch
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.63	3.14	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.65)	3.16 ↓ (3.19)	2.88 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
38.7%

Draw
29.3%

Trelleborg
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

28.6%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundsvall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Sundsvall - Trelleborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sundsvall will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Trelleborg will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sundsvall: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sundsvall (votes: 3 - 50%). Trelleborg (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Trelleborg (2.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sundsvall (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Trelleborg (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olsson J. (G) 30. Hallin M. 4. Svanberg L. 18. Forsberg L. 11. Tammivuori S. 7. Sandberg T. 6. Manchon M. 23. Aviander H. 20. Bjornler J. 8. Palomino M. 21. Engblom P. (C)	12. Nilsson M. (G) 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. (C) 5. Ogwuche A. 15. Godwin E. 16. Asani A. 24. Christiansson V. 10. Vidjeskog A. 8. Ruuska O. 17. Bohman F. 22. Martinsson F.
Substitutes
25. Baah C. 27. Bahtijar A. 22. Eriksson M. 19. Finey Y. 13. Henareh D. (G) 2. Pantelidis A. 15. Sandberg M.	21. Alievski E. 7. Andersson J. 45. Brandin O. 11. Culum A. 26. Kack J. 25. Lofberg E. 4. Rehn A.
Coaches
Ates E.	Haynes K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Palomino M. ⚽,
40', Godwin E. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
47', Forsberg L. 🟨,
47', Bohman F. 🟨,
51', Martinsson F. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Christiansson V. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Culum A. ⚽,
63', Bjornler J. ↓, Finey Y. ↑,
63', Engblom P. ↓, Eriksson M. ↑,
69', Aviander H. 🟨,
73', Hallin M. ↓, Bahtijar A. ↑,
73', Palomino M. ↓, Sandberg M. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Finey Y. ⚽, Aviander H. (A),
78', Horberg F. 🟨,
79', Nilsson M. 🟨,
79', 3 - 2, Svanberg L. (Pen),
81', Manchon M. 🟨,
82', Ruuska O. ↓, Kack J. ↑,
83', Christiansson V. 🟨,
87', 4 - 2, Finey Y. ⚽, Eriksson M. (A),
88', Asani A. ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
90+2', Tammivuori S. ↓, Baah C. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sundsvall won 3.

Sundsvall is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Trelleborg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sundsvall won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sundsvall won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Superettan
14.06.25	Umeå - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
01.06.25	Sundsvall - Falkenberg	0:0 ✺
27.05.25	Sandviken - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
22.05.25	Sundsvall - Brage	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Örebro - Sundsvall	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTWLW
- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
15.06.25	Trelleborg - Utsikten	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Örgryte - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
27.05.25	Trelleborg - Helsingborg	0:0 ✺
21.05.25	Falkenberg - Trelleborg	4:0 ✺
17.05.25	Trelleborg - Västerås SK	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
28.07.24	Sundsvall - Trelleborg	2:1
27.05.24	Trelleborg - Sundsvall	3:2
13.08.23	Sundsvall - Trelleborg	1:1
01.05.23	Trelleborg - Sundsvall	3:4
29.09.21	Sundsvall - Trelleborg	2:0
05.06.21	Trelleborg - Sundsvall	1:0
27.09.20	Sundsvall - Trelleborg	2:1

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