Match Info

Superettan - Round 26

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday

Location: Landskrona Idrottsplats (Landskrona)

Referee: Nehdi F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 5, TV4 Play


	Landskrona		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.35
	2.72	3.45	2.45
	2.65	3.56	2.59
	2.64	3.27	2.59	Watch
	2.64	3.4	2.46	Watch
	2.6	3.35	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.3)	3.39 ↓ (3.65)	2.48 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Landskrona
34.9%

Draw
27.5%

Varbergs BoIS
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

25.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Landskrona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Landskrona's form might have worsened.

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Landskrona than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	4.3%	91.3%

Landskrona - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Landskrona will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Varberg will win (votes: 21 - 91.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varberg: 79.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Varberg (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Varberg (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Landskrona (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Varbergs BoIS will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Landskrona (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Varberg (votes: 10 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Pettersson M. (G) 18. Perez A. 4. Bruzelius G. 12. Jonsson M. (C) 16. Rahmani R. 5. Egnell A. 23. Nilsson M. 10. Capotondi C. 11. Bjorkqvist M. 22. Stark C. 21. Jensen K.	29. Andersson F. (G) 4. Dahlstrom N. 12. Tellgren E. 8. Liljenback A. 24. Hellman E. 22. Loukili Z. 5. Winbo A. 21. Vidjeskog I. (C) 11. Mohudin N. A. 23. Tokich M. 10. Shabani L.
Substitutes
31. Andersson A. (G) 17. Elezaj G. 7. Karlsson V. 28. Milosevic M. 15. Mohamed M. 20. Odhiambo X. 3. Weststrom G.	13. Edlund O. 15. Jonasson Westermark J. 42. Kabuye C. 18. Lindner J. 28. Sadiku E. 1. Strindholm D. (G) 3. Zackrisson H.
Coaches
Asterhed R.	Hansen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', Vidjeskog I. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Shabani L. ⚽, Tellgren E. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Stark C. ⚽, Rahmani R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Winbo A. ↓, Sadiku E. ↑,
62', Tokich M. ↓, Jonasson Westermark J. ↑,
64', Stark C. 🟨,
65', Jonasson Westermark J. 🟨,
65', Bruzelius G. 🟨,
71', Nilsson M. 🟨,
72', Mohudin N. A. ↓, Kabuye C. ↑,
73', Vidjeskog I. ↓, Edlund O. ↑,
75', Capotondi C. ↓, Mohamed M. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Bjorkqvist M. ⚽, Nilsson M. (A),
80', Dahlstrom N. 🟨,
81', Nilsson M. ↓, Weststrom G. ↑,
81', Stark C. ↓, Odhiambo X. ↑,
83', Dahlstrom N. ↓, Zackrisson H. ↑,
90', Hellman E. 🟨,
90+6', Mohamed M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Landskrona won 0.

In recent matches, Landskrona has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Varberg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Landskrona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 1.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Landskrona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.8:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Varbergs BoIS - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.32%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Landskrona BoIS
Swedish Superettan
30.09.25	Örgryte - Landskrona	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Landskrona - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Utsikten - Landskrona	4:0 ✺
16.09.25	Helsingborg - Landskrona	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Landskrona - Sundsvall	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLTW
- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
28.09.25	Varbergs BoIS - Oddevold	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Örebro - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Varbergs BoIS - Trelleborg	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sundsvall - Varbergs BoIS	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Varbergs BoIS - Falkenberg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
22.05.25	Varbergs BoIS - Landskrona	4:2
26.08.24	Landskrona - Varbergs BoIS	1:4
22.07.24	Varbergs BoIS - Landskrona	1:1
18.09.18	Landskrona - Varbergs BoIS	0:2
06.05.18	Varbergs BoIS - Landskrona	1:0
Club Friendly
12.03.15	Varbergs BoIS - Landskrona	2:1
Swedish Superettan
09.08.14	Landskrona - Varbergs BoIS	1:5

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