Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Marino de Luanco		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.3
	2.12	2.92	3.35
	2.1	3.07	3.49	Watch
	2.15	2.88	3.5
	2.14	2.93	3.44
	2.08	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.06)	2.96 ↓ (3.02)	3.45 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino de Luanco
43%

Draw
30.7%

Atlético Astorga
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

30%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

31%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Marino de Luanco - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Ceinos D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Marino de Luanco is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético Astorga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Marino de Luanco could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marino de Luanco won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Marino de Luanco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Atl. Astorga	5	1	0	4	5:7	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.12.25	Burgos Promesas - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Marino de Luanco - Real Ávila	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Marino de Luanco - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTWL
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Numancia	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Sarriana - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Sámano	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Atlético Astorga - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.02.15	Marino de Luanco - Atlético Astorga	2:2
20.09.14	Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco	2:2

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