Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, TNT Sports
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Lanús		Argentinos Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.82	3.20	Watch
	2.45	2.90	3.10
	2.45	2.95	3.10	Watch
	2.59	3.03	3.18
	2.54	3.04	3.03	Watch
	2.50	3.00	3.15
	2.74	2.89	3.03	Watch
	2.50	2.90	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.86)	2.94 ↑ (2.81)	3.11 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
37.3%

Draw
32.2%

Argentinos Juniors
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

32.9%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

32.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Lanús - Argentinos Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Losada N. (G) 33. Guidara T. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 35. De Jesus R. 6. Marcich S. 4. Perez G. 5. Pena Biafore F. 11. Salvio E. 8. Watson F. N. 25. Aquino D. 20. Wlk A.	25. Cortes B. (G) 22. Coronel K. 16. Alvarez F. 6. Vazquez F. 26. Bravo C. 10. Lescano A. (C) 15. Gutierrez K. 11. Oroz N. 8. Lopez H. 27. Molina T. 47. Porcel D.
Substitutes
38. Acosta B. 77. Besozzi L. 13. Canale J. 39. Laplace T. 40. Lopez T. 17. Medina A. 3. Morgantini N. 1. Petroli F. (G) 27. Sanchez F. 16. Sepulveda M. 19. Valois Y.	35. Alcaraz A. 5. Carrizo F. 21. Florentin G. 19. Gimenez M. 4. Godoy E. 37. Gomez T. 48. Jainikoski F. 7. Morales I. 30. Nunez A. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 9. Veron G. 29. Viveros E.
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Diez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Watson F. N. ↓, Valois Y. ↑,
62', Porcel D. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
70', Lopez H. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Pena Biafore F. ⚽, Izquierdoz C. (A),
70', Molina T. ↓, Veron G. ↑,
72', Aquino D. ↓, Besozzi L. ↑,
72', Wlk A. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Veron G. ⚽, Oroz N. (A),
75', Perez G. 🟨,
84', Oroz N. ↓, Florentin G. ↑,
84', Lescano A. ↓, Viveros E. ↑,
87', Salvio E. ↓, Laplace T. ↑,
87', Perez G. ↓, Medina A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0.

Lanús is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Argentinos Juniors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Lanús: Carrera R. (Red Card) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Marcelino Moreno (Muscle Injury) Medina A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Gho J. (Knee Injury) Godoy E. (Inactive) Paredes F. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Lanús - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.35%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Argentinos Juniors - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.72%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.26	Lanús - Independiente	1:3 ✺
11.08.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Lanús	0:3 ✺
06.08.26	Unión Santa Fe - Lanús	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Lanús - Instituto Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.07.26	Cienciano - Lanús	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLL
- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.26	River Plate - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Argentinos Juniors - Racing	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors	0:1 ✺
28.07.26	Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	3:0 ✺
23.07.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Argentinos Juniors	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.05.26	Argentinos Juniors - Lanús	2:0
26.03.26	Argentinos Juniors - Lanús	2:1
Copa Argentina
08.09.25	Argentinos Juniors - Lanús	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.07.24	Argentinos Juniors - Lanús	2:0
20.03.23	Lanús - Argentinos Juniors	0:0
06.10.22	Lanús - Argentinos Juniors	0:4
29.10.21	Argentinos Juniors - Lanús	0:1

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